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All metals · Base Metals · Iron Ore & Steel · Precious Metals

Every weekday's metals stories from Morgan Downey's Commodity News email, newest first, with the day's what-moved line (Mon, Sep 7 to Fri, Oct 2). Open a date for the full issue across every commodity.

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · Week in Review →

Friday, October 2, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper rebounds on Chile mine supply risks and thin China stocks despite dollar strength and weekly losses.

Copper rebounds on Chile supply risks despite dollar pressure.
Recorder Report · Business Recorder
LME three-month copper rose 0.32% to $14,289/t overnight on supply concerns from Chile's 12.8% YoY output drop in August and Escondida supervisors rejecting a contract offer, paving the way for potential strike action after a fatal accident. SHFE stocks fell to 38,744 t, the lowest since January 2024. The rebound was insufficient to prevent a 2.28% weekly decline driven by a stronger dollar and bond market rout. Read →
LME sets copper cash at $14,485-14,487/t.
Recorder Report · Business Recorder
LME official closing prices showed copper cash at $14,485-14,487/t and three-month at $14,453-14,455/t. Aluminum cash settled near $3,203-3,204/t, zinc at $3,953.50-3,954/t, nickel at $15,855-15,860/t, lead at $1,855-1,856/t. Prices reflect ongoing physical tightness outside the US amid holiday pauses in China. Read →
Escondida supervisors vote 95% for strike after contract rejection.
Julienne Raboca · Fastmarkets
Supervisors at BHP's Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, voted 95% to reject the company's final collective bargaining offer and authorize strike action, triggering mandatory five-day government mediation. The vote follows a fatal maintenance accident and adds to broader Chilean output weakness, supporting physical market tightness ahead of Chinese smelter maintenance. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · DCE iron ore futures fell to 705 yuan/mt as restocking ends and steel mill profitability hits 8%.

Dalian iron ore at 702.5 yuan pre-holiday on China PMI
Rio Times Online
The most-traded Dalian contract closed at 702.5 yuan (US$105)/mt on 30 September, up 0.5%, before the National Day holiday shutdown. China factory PMI rose to 50.1 in September. Vale shares edged up while Rio Tinto and others were mixed; Singapore futures provide the main live price signal during the holiday. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · US nonfarm payrolls and rate-hike odds drive gold, silver, platinum and palladium moves amid firmer dollar and yields.

Gold steadies pre-payrolls, eyes second weekly loss
Ashitha Shivaprasad · Reuters
Spot gold held near $4,188/oz early Friday, down over 2% for the week, as a stronger dollar and record-high Treasury yields weighed on prices ahead of the September US nonfarm payrolls report due at 12:30 GMT. Traders now price only a 26% chance of a Fed rate hike this month versus 70% earlier in the week, with an 80% probability seen for December. Silver rose 0.7% to $61.26/oz while platinum and palladium also gained modestly but remain on track for weekly declines. Read →
Gold rises on softer US inflation, lower hike odds
Noel John · Reuters
Spot gold edged 0.2% higher to $4,165/oz Thursday after August US inflation data came in softer than expected, cutting October Fed rate-hike odds to 31% from 69% a week earlier. HSBC lowered its 2026 average gold price forecast to $4,490/oz, citing near-term pressure but expecting central banks to resume buying near or below $4,000. Silver gained 0.2% to $60.51/oz and platinum rose 0.1%, while palladium fell 2.2%. Read →
Bank of Korea to buy domestic gold in December
Reuters via Kitco News
South Korea’s central bank will purchase gold from local producers starting mid-December once its transaction system is ready, with roughly 1 metric ton potentially available. This marks the Bank of Korea’s first reserve gold buying since 2013 and follows its August announcement to support foreign-exchange reserve management. The central bank holds 104.4 tonnes of gold, or 3.1% of reserves, stored primarily in London. Read →

Thursday, October 1, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · China factory PMI rebound and Escondida strike risk tighten copper supply outlook.

Copper edges up on China factory rebound data
Reuters
Benchmark three-month copper on the LME rose 0.1% to $14,453 per tonne amid China’s official manufacturing PMI climbing to 50.1 in September from 49.8, its first expansion in months. SHFE copper stocks fell 17.8% week-on-week to 38,744 tonnes, the lowest since January 2024, as pre-holiday demand drained inventories before the National Day shutdown. The metal is on track for a third straight monthly gain of about 1.1%. Read →
Escondida supervisors reject offer, head to mediation
Reuters
The 1,020-member supervisors’ union at BHP’s Escondida, the world’s largest copper mine, voted 95% to reject the final contract offer and authorize strike action. Chilean law now requires at least five days of mandatory government mediation before any legal stoppage. The vote adds fresh supply risk after a fatal accident recently halted operations at the mine that produced 1.26 million tonnes in FY2026. Read →
China refined copper growth set for decades-low pace
Reuters
Analysts at Wood Mackenzie and Zijin Tianfeng forecast China’s refined copper output will grow only 3-3.4% in 2026, the slowest pace since at least 2000, versus 10.4% in 2025. Smelters face tightening scrap supply from a tax crackdown plus falling sulphuric acid prices that erode margins, with seven plants scheduling 30-60 days of maintenance that will cut 80,000 tonnes. The slowdown is expected to support prices into Q4. Read →
Copper steadies ahead of China holiday supply watch
Bloomberg
LME copper contracts were little changed as attention turned to supply amid subdued trading volumes during China’s National Day holiday. Prices slipped earlier in the week after soft Chinese industrial earnings data, but physical tightness outside the US and ongoing mine risks remain in focus. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Iron ore futures and spot prices fell as only 8% of Chinese blast-furnace mills stayed profitable amid high coke costs and weak steel demand.

Iron ore futures extend fall on weak Chinese mill margins
Sophie Becker · World Ports Organization
Iron ore futures fell below CNY 720 per ton for a third straight session. Only around 8% of Chinese mills remained profitable, the lowest since September 2024, due to persistently elevated coke prices. China Mineral Resources Group advised steelmakers to avoid Rio Tinto’s Pilbara Blend ore, pressuring demand for major Australian supply. Read →
62% Fe iron ore at $96.73/t as China steel output falls
Kalkine
62% Fe iron ore fines were assessed at US$96.73 per metric ton on September 29, down 0.20% on the day. China’s crude steel output fell 3.7% y/y in August and 3.1% over the first eight months. Port stocks rose 0.76% w/w to 152.17 million metric tons while SGX and DCE futures also declined. Read →
CISA urges steel output curbs as mill profitability hits 7.8%
Nikos Tagoulis · World Ports Organization
China Iron and Steel Association called on producers to curb output to align with weak domestic demand. Only 7.8% of blast-furnace mills were profitable in mid-September, down from 32.5% at end-August, due to high coke costs and subdued consumption. Australian iron ore shipments to China rose 6.2% w/w ahead of National Day holiday restocking. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Rising Treasury yields offset softer US PCE data, pressuring gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices overnight.

Yields rise, offsetting soft PCE and lower hike odds
Kitco
Spot gold and silver prices fell in late US trading Wednesday as cooler August PCE data reduced October Fed hike odds but failed to halt a further rise in long-dated Treasury yields. The report notes the complex traded lower despite the inflation print, with yields remaining the dominant driver. This dynamic underscores how bond-market moves continue to weigh on non-yielding precious metals even amid shifting rate expectations. Read →
Gold steady, silver gains amid yields and Fed watch
Anshul · CNBC TV18
Gold held steady near $4,192 per ounce while silver gained modestly on October 1 as markets assessed US rates, Treasury yields, the dollar and geopolitics. The piece highlights five straight days of rising gold ETF holdings as evidence of persistent longer-term investment demand despite the September correction. Key watches include yields, Fed policy signals and upcoming jobs data. Read →
Gold steady, silver platinum palladium slip in Asia
Aletihad / WAM
Spot gold changed little at $4,146.66 per ounce in early Asian trade Thursday while silver fell 0.4 percent, platinum 0.1 percent and palladium 0.4 percent. US gold futures for December eased 0.3 percent. The report captures the overnight consolidation after Wednesday’s session where softer US inflation data provided only brief support before yields reasserted pressure. Read →

Wednesday, September 30, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Chile mine strike risk and China factory rebound lift copper while lithium slumps 25% on demand fears.

China factory PMI returns to growth at 50.1
Kevin Yao and Ellen Zhang · Reuters
China’s official manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1 in September from 49.8 in August, returning to expansion territory for the first time since June. A private survey showed a five-month high of 52.1. The rebound in factory activity, supported by AI-related demand, provides a positive signal for industrial metals consumption ahead of China’s National Day holiday. Read →
Centinela unions ready to strike Oct 13
Reuters · Mining Weekly
The two main unions at Antofagasta Minerals’ Centinela copper mine in Chile, representing 708 members, rejected the company’s contract offer and entered mandatory government mediation. Union leaders said a legal strike could begin as early as Oct. 13 if talks fail. Centinela produced 240,400 tonnes of copper in 2025, adding to broader supply concerns from operational issues and weather. Read →
Lithium carbonate futures plunge 25% in China
Bloomberg
Chinese lithium carbonate futures on the Guangzhou exchange fell 25% in September to below 120,000 yuan per tonne. Concerns over slowing EV battery and energy storage demand, plus a new consumption tax on lithium-ion batteries and halted new projects, weighed on prices. The drop reverses earlier optimism from mine supply constraints and export growth. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · China steel output cuts and port iron ore inventory builds drive DCE iron ore futures to five-week lows near 700 yuan/t.

Restocking ends, iron ore futures stay soft
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
The most-traded DCE I2701 iron ore contract settled at 705 yuan/mt, down 0.91% from the prior session, with spot prices at Qingdao port falling 6-10 yuan/mt week-on-week amid thin trading. Arrivals at Chinese ports reached 29.46 million mt for the week while global shipments were steady; mill losses persist and most producers hold output steady, with some shifting maintenance after the holiday due to tight coke supply. Restocking demand has largely run its course, leaving prices without near-term support. Read →
China HRC export prices hold steady near $498/t FOB
Mysteel
China’s carbon steel hot-rolled coil export prices remained broadly stable during the week of September 20-24, with Mysteel assessing SS400 3mm commercial-grade HRC at Tianjin port at $498/t FOB, down just $1/t on the week. Export deals stayed limited as mills focused on domestic supply ahead of the National Day holiday. August HRC export volumes rose 12.6% year-on-year to 1.52 million tonnes, the first annual increase this year per customs data. Read →
China iron ore port inventories rise to 172 mt
Mysteel
Inventories of imported iron ore at China’s 47 major ports increased for the second straight week to 172.17 million tonnes by September 24, up 805,700 tonnes or 0.5% week-on-week. Steel mill imported ore stocks also built, reaching a seven-month high as mills stockpiled ahead of the holiday while daily consumption eased. The build reflects ample global supply and restrained mill buying amid ongoing losses. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Elevated US Treasury yields and rate-hike odds drive gold lower despite physical buying support near lows.

Gold heads for monthly loss ahead of PCE data
Ashitha Shivaprasad · Reuters
Spot gold held near $4,180/oz on Wednesday, down about 6% for September. Traders priced in higher Fed rates after oil-driven inflation concerns lifted yields, with PCE data due later. Silver, platinum and palladium also face monthly losses as the dollar strengthens. Read →

Tuesday, September 29, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Chile mine strike vote lifts copper toward $14,500/t amid tight China stocks.

Antofagasta Centinela workers reject offer, paving strike path
Reuters
Workers at Antofagasta Minerals' Centinela copper mine in Chile voted 98.73% to reject the company's final contract offer. The unions must now enter mandatory mediation before any strike can begin. Centinela produced 240,400 metric tons of copper in 2025, adding near-term supply risk to a market already tight on Chinese inventories. Read →
Copper edges higher on Chile mine strike risk
Jessica Zhou · Bloomberg
LME copper futures rose toward $14,500 per ton as workers at Antofagasta's Centinela site overwhelmingly rejected the wage offer. The move heightens strike prospects at a key Chilean operation. Prices remain near September's record high with the metal on track for a third straight monthly gain. Read →
SMM suspends China metals prices and news for National Day
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
SMM will halt updates on Chinese metal prices and news from Oct 1-7 for the National Day holiday. The pause covers spot quotes, inventories, and analysis across copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, tin, lead, and lithium. Traders face a data blackout during the extended break. Read →
Shanghai copper premiums ease as imports arrive pre-holiday
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
Shanghai spot copper premiums pulled back this week as imported cargoes replenished the market and pre-holiday buying slowed. Premiums over the SHFE 2610 contract averaged around 1,140 yuan per ton Monday. The center is expected to remain under pressure short-term despite support ahead of the holiday. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · DCE iron ore futures hit five-week low at 703.5 yuan/mt as CISA urges output restraint amid rising port stocks and weak mill margins.

Dalian iron ore futures hit five-week low on China steel cuts.
Rio Times Online
China’s most-traded January iron-ore contract on Dalian fell 1.1% to 703.5 yuan (US$105) per tonne on September 28, its lowest since August 20, while the Singapore October contract traded down 0.68% at US$94.45. Crude-steel output dropped 3.7% year-on-year in August and 3.1% over the first eight months of 2026; CISA urged mills to restrain production as port inventories rose and profitability weakened. Holiday restocking offered limited support, leaving iron ore prices under pressure from subdued demand. Read →
DCE iron ore drops as restocking ends and prices lose support.
Priya Anika Rajan · World Ports Organization / MMI
The DCE most-traded contract fell 8.5 yuan to 705.0 yuan/mt and Qingdao Port spot prices dropped 10, 12 yuan/wmt as SMM reported restocking demand largely complete. The MMi 61% port spot index fell the most (-1.74%), collapsing the high-low grade spread; global shipments recovered but arrivals eased. CISA mid-September pig iron output aligned at 1.770 million mt/day (-1.4%), confirming softening demand support near term. Read →
CISA and 45 mills call for output curbs and inventory cuts.
Bloomberg / SteelOrbis / industry reports
CISA and major producers including Baowu, HBIS, Ansteel and Shougang issued a joint initiative for strict output controls, voluntary restraint and inventory reduction amid “strong supply, weak demand, low prices, thin profits.” Only 7.8% of blast-furnace mills were profitable in mid-September versus 32.5% end-August; the move targets alignment with actual demand and could further reduce iron-ore import needs. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold edges higher near 7-week low as Treasury yields stabilize after sharp selloff.

Northern Star rejects $27B Gold Fields takeover bid
Reuters
Australia's top gold producer Northern Star rejected an unsolicited A$38.7 billion ($27.1 billion) cash-and-stock bid from South Africa's Gold Fields that would have created the world's No. 2 gold miner by output. The board called the offer opportunistic and materially undervalued its assets while exposing shareholders to higher jurisdictional risk via a large equity component. Northern Star shares rose 6.2% on the news while Gold Fields shares fell sharply, underscoring ongoing consolidation pressure in the sector. Read →
Barrick averts Mali gold mine strikes with union deal
Bloomberg
Barrick Mining signed a new collective bargaining agreement with unions at its Loulo-Gounkoto gold complex in western Mali, calling off planned strikes by workers at the mine and related contractors. The deal resolved 15 demands around overtime pay and expenses after talks on September 21. It removes immediate operational disruption risk at one of Mali's largest gold operations following prior government disputes. Read →

Monday, September 28, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Base metals slide on broad selloff; LME copper drops 1%, lithium carbonate futures plunge 4.15% amid pre-holiday caution and weaker China industrial profits.

Base metals tumble; LME copper, SHFE tin/nickel lead declines as lithium carbona
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
All SHFE base metals fell midday with copper down 0.72%, aluminum 0.68%, zinc 0.97%, tin 1.25% and nickel 1.18%. LME copper fell 1.01%, tin 1.72% and zinc 0.86%. Lithium carbonate's most-traded contract dropped 4.15%. Read →
Escondida unions reject pause in talks after worker death; operations resuming g
Reuters
Unions at BHP's Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, rejected management's request to pause contract negotiations after a fatal maintenance accident on Wednesday. Operations are gradually resuming after regulatory checks; supervisors vote on the offer next week. Read →
Copper slips on softer China industrial profits and pre-holiday caution.
The Edge Malaysia
LME copper fell as much as 1.6% after China reported industrial enterprise profits rose only 4.2% YoY in August, the weakest since November. Traders cite the upcoming National Day holiday and macro caution despite prior tightness signals. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · CISA self-discipline call and pre-Golden Week restocking drive iron ore buying amid weak steel margins and rising port stocks.

CISA urges output curbs as mill profits collapse to 7.8%.
Breakwave Advisors
CISA called on mills for voluntary production restraint amid only 7.8% of blast-furnace mills profitable in mid-September, down from 32.5% end-August. Subdued demand and high coke prices squeezed margins; Australian shipments to China rose 6.2% w-o-w as mills rebuild stocks ahead of National Day holiday. This supports near-term iron ore demand despite longer-term weak steel consumption. Read →
China 10-port iron ore stocks build 0.67% to 102.59 Mt.
Hellenic Shipping News / MMi
10 major Chinese ports iron ore inventories rose to 102.594 Mt (+681,500 Mt w-o-w), ending three weeks of draws, with the full build in fines. 35-port total reached 145.45 Mt (+1.12 Mt). Rising arrivals and pre-holiday restocking outweigh weak hot-metal output (2.3943 Mt/day). This adds to port stock pressure and caps upside for 62% Fe prices. Read →
CISA: steel demand misses September peak expectations.
SEAISI / CISA
CISA reported end-user steel demand failed to recover meaningfully in September despite the seasonal peak. Mill inventories of five major products rose 1.7% early September to 16.52 Mt; trader stocks in 21 cities at 9.59 Mt. High coking coal/coke costs pressure prices with limited upside despite firm input costs; production cuts remain limited even as some mills record losses. Read →
47-port iron ore inventories up 0.5% to 172.17 Mt.
Mysteel
Imported iron ore stocks at 47 major Chinese ports rose for the second straight week to 172.17 Mt (+805,700 Mt or 0.5% w-o-w, +18.3% y-o-y). Steel mills trim production amid losses while building pre-holiday ore stocks; spot and futures prices declined on weakening demand. This reinforces loose supply-demand balance for iron ore ahead of Golden Week. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Precious metals prices plunge over 2% Monday on surging oil prices and hawkish Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold, silver, platinum, palladium prices fall over 2% on oil surge.
Emirates News Agency (WAM)
Spot gold fell 2.1% to $4,198.10/oz and US futures to $4,231.00 as higher oil prices stoked inflation fears and boosted expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes this week. Silver dropped 3.4% to $62.08/oz, platinum 2.7% to $1,730.78/oz and palladium 2.8% to $1,231.46/oz. The move underscores how energy-driven inflation signals are pressuring non-yielding assets across the complex. Read →
Northern Star rejects Gold Fields' $27bn takeover offer.
Financial Times
Northern Star Resources rejected an unsolicited A$39bn ($27bn) offer from South Africa’s Gold Fields as opportunistic and undervaluing its assets. The deal would have created the world’s second-largest gold miner and Australia’s largest with 2.4 million ounces annual output, mostly from Western Australia. Shares in Northern Star rose 7% after the rejection, highlighting consolidation pressure in the gold mining sector amid volatile prices. Read →
Palladium drops 3%+ to near $1,237/oz amid broader selloff.
Financial Times
Palladium traded at $1,237/oz, down more than 3% on the day with a 52-week range of $1,171, $2,265. The decline aligns with the broader precious metals complex selloff driven by higher oil prices and rate-hike expectations. FT markets coverage notes parallel moves in platinum, gold and silver amid the risk-off sentiment. Read →
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · Week in Review →

Friday, September 25, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · China inventory draws and Escondida suspension tighten copper supply, lifting LME prices toward weekly gains.

Copper edges higher on China supply tightness
Reuters via Business Recorder
Benchmark three-month LME copper rose 0.08% to $14,632/t early Friday and is set for a weekly gain after SHFE copper inventories fell 15.9% to 47,147 tons. The LME cash-to-three-month spread widened to a $124.75/t backwardation, signaling acute near-term tightness in the key consumer market. The moves follow pre-holiday stockpiling and smelter maintenance cuts in China. Read →
Escondida resumes after fatal accident
Reuters
BHP's Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, suspended operations Wednesday after a worker died during maintenance and is now resuming progressively following safety assessments. The incident adds to already tight physical supply signals in copper. Escondida is a joint venture with Rio Tinto and JECO Corp. Read →
Nyrstar reviews future of Dutch zinc smelter
Nyrstar
Nyrstar announced a strategic review of its Budel zinc smelter in the Netherlands, citing high energy costs, low treatment charges, and lack of Dutch grid-cost relief in the 2027 budget. The review will conclude by year-end while operations continue normally. The move intensified zinc supply concerns and supported LME zinc prices. Read →
Lithium carbonate futures drop 4.79%
Shanghai Metals Market
Battery-grade lithium carbonate futures on GFEX fell 4.79% to close at 124,400 yuan/t amid weak spot buying and lower weekly production from spodumene and lepidolite processors. Spot prices drifted lower with downstream purchase intentions below 130,000 yuan/t. The decline reflects ample near-term supply in the battery metal. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · SGX iron ore futures hover near $96/t as Chinese port stocks build and steel mill margins stay squeezed.

China rebar prices fell 0.6% mid-September.
Eunice Ouyang · SteelOrbis
China’s National Bureau of Statistics reported average 20mm HRB400E rebar prices dropped RMB 17.6/mt (0.6%) to RMB 3,165.1/mt in mid-September versus early September. HRC, wire rod and other steel products also declined 0.4-1.3%. The data reflect persistent weak property-sector demand pressuring finished-steel prices. Read →
Rio Tinto, Baowu finish Pilbara DRI trials.
Global Mining Review
Rio Tinto and China Baowu completed industrial-scale trials at Baoshan Zhanjiang using hydrogen-based shaft furnace DRI from pellets with one-third Pilbara Blend ore. The DRI was converted to steel via BOF and tested in an electric smelting furnace, showing mid-grade Pilbara ore can support lower-carbon steelmaking pathways. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold tilts lower near $4,270/oz as Iran impasse fuels Fed rate-hike bets and dollar strength.

Gold tilts lower near $4,270 as Iran talks stall and rate-hike bets rise.
Bloomberg
Gold traded around $4,270 an ounce, down more than 2% for the week. Elevated energy prices from the US-Iran impasse lifted bond yields and boosted odds of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Oil steadied after a surge while negotiators explored a phased Hormuz deal. Read →
Gold hits one-week low at $4,265 as oil and hawkish Fed weigh.
Anjana Anil · Reuters
Spot gold eased 0.5% to $4,265.50 per ounce, its lowest since September 16. Higher oil after a Houthi attack and Fed officials signaling more rate hikes pressured prices. The dollar hit a two-month high and 10-year Treasury yields reached near two-decade highs. Read →
Gold heads for weekly loss as dollar and Fed outlook weigh.
Reuters
Spot gold fell 0.2% to $4,270.40 per ounce and is down more than 2% for the week. A firmer dollar and expectations of sustained high US rates to fight inflation weighed on bullion. Silver slipped 0.5% to $63.58 while platinum steadied and palladium fell 1.3%. Read →

Thursday, September 24, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper slips on firmer dollar and Fed hike bets after six-day rally, while Shanghai inventories hit three-year low.

Shanghai copper stocks drop to lowest since 2023
Michael Kern · Oilprice.com
LME three-month copper settled at $14,783/t on Sep 22, up 0.8% and $92 below the Sep 10 record. Shanghai cathode inventories fell to 43,900 t, the lowest since 2023, as fabricators restock ahead of holidays and refineries plan maintenance. LME cash copper flipped to a $62/t premium to three-month, signaling physical tightness. Read →
LME copper drops 0.6% to $14,655/t on dollar strength
Reuters via Business Recorder
Benchmark three-month LME copper fell 0.6% to $14,655/t on Sep 23 after testing $14,833/t. A stronger dollar and profit-taking capped gains following the prior rally. Comex inventories hold 69% of global exchange copper, while LME cash traded at a $76/t premium. Read →
Nickel rebounds on Indonesia output cuts
Shanghai Metals Market
SMM #1 refined nickel averaged 126,725 yuan/t this week, up 1,625 yuan/t WoW. El Nino drought and expected NPI disruptions at IMIP supported prices. LME nickel 3M rose about 1.6% WoW amid China-US talks on critical minerals. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · DCE iron ore futures hover near one-month lows at CNY 710/t as ample Australian shipments and high port stocks outweigh pre-Golden Week restocking support.

Iron ore futures near one-month lows on weak China demand.
Jam Kaimo Samonte · Trading Economics
Iron ore futures in China traded around CNY 710 per ton, near one-month lows. Ample Australian shipments above 21 million tons week-on-week and rising port arrivals from Australia and Brazil added to supply pressure. Chinese steel mills face widening losses from high coking coal prices amid Shanxi mine suspensions, while softer construction and manufacturing demand weighs on ferrous purchases; prices hold some support from expected pre-Golden Week restocking. Read →
BHP, Baowu extend five-year steel decarbonisation MoU.
BHP
BHP and China Baowu Steel renewed their steel decarbonisation partnership via a new five-year MoU, extending collaboration since 2020. Focus areas include modified blast furnace technologies using Pilbara ores targeting at least 30% lower CO2 intensity versus conventional operations, potentially exceeding 80% with carbon storage and renewables, plus continued DRI trials with Pilbara ore processed in Baowu’s planned demonstration electric smelting furnace. Prior hydrogen DRI trials produced iron at 50% of blast-furnace CO2 intensity and supported near-zero emissions potential in electric smelting tests. Read →
Imported iron ore margins turn negative on costs.
SMM
Average imported iron ore margin fell to -0.73 yuan/mt from 1.82 yuan/mt, driven by higher lump premiums and rising Brazilian freight rates. As of Sep 23, blast furnace operating rate across 242 mills stood at 88.76%, down 0.17pp week-on-week, with daily hot metal output at 2.3943 million mt, down 4,800 mt. Deeper mill losses reduce production incentives, with more maintenance scheduled and hot metal output expected to decline further from October. Read →
Chinese mills build imported iron ore stocks to 7-month high.
Mysteel
China’s integrated steelmakers built up inventories of imported iron ore sintering fines to a seven-month high ahead of national holidays, per Mysteel’s latest survey. Daily consumption of the feedstock retreated slightly. Blast furnace mills continue pre-holiday restocking even as overall demand indicators remain subdued. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Stronger dollar and hawkish Fed signals from hot US PMI data pressure gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices lower today.

Gold holds steady; silver falls, platinum flat, palladium rises slightly in Asia
Emirates News Agency / WAM
Spot gold was little changed at $4,285.31/oz and December futures at $4,321.40/oz in early Asian trade Thursday. Silver fell 0.6% to $64.08/oz while platinum held at $1,749.47/oz and palladium edged up 0.2% to $1,261.95/oz. The moves reflect broad pressure on the complex from a firmer dollar and shifting rate expectations. Read →
Gold falls nearly 1% on stronger dollar and hawkish Fed comments.
Reuters via Business Recorder
Spot gold dropped 0.9% to $4,316.59/oz and December futures fell 0.5% to $4,353.30/oz amid a stronger dollar at a two-month high and hawkish Fed remarks reinforcing tighter policy views. Silver fell 2.7% to $65.28/oz, platinum lost 2.3% to $1,790.48/oz and palladium declined 2% to $1,280.72/oz. Geopolitical comments on Iran added to volatility but did not offset the macro headwinds. Read →
US services and manufacturing PMI beat forecasts, sending gold lower.
Kitco News
Flash S&P Global US composite PMI rose to 58.4 in September, well above the 55.2 consensus, with services at 58.7 and manufacturing at 57.0. Spot gold fell to session lows near $4,282.81/oz, down about 1.74% on the day as stronger US data reinforced rate-hike bets. The acceleration in business activity to a five-year high weighed on safe-haven demand across precious metals. Read →

Wednesday, September 23, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Dollar strength weighs on LME copper, down 0.66% to $14,651/t as China buying pauses overnight.

Dollar rise pulls LME copper, other metals lower
Reuters
Benchmark three-month LME copper fell 0.66% to $14,651/t by early Wednesday as the stronger US dollar made dollar-denominated metals more expensive for non-US buyers. SHFE copper slipped 0.23% to 110,960 yuan/t. The Yangshan import premium eased to $117/t but stayed well above early-month levels, reflecting sustained though moderating Chinese physical demand ahead of holidays. Read →
Copper nears record as China, LME stocks drain
Mining.com
Comex December copper hit a fresh session high near $6.87/lb while LME three-month copper rose 0.7% to $14,766/t. SHFE-monitored stocks have dropped 70% since early June; Shanghai social inventories hit a three-year low. LME cancelled warrants rose another 6,700 t to 122,150 t, leaving just 133,725 t available in the system. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Chinese steelmakers' voluntary output cuts and pre-holiday iron ore restocking drive the complex amid weak demand.

Chinese voluntary steel output cuts lift Korean mill hopes
Lee Gyu-lee · The Korea Times
The China Iron and Steel Association urged about 45 mills including Baowu, Ansteel, HBIS and Shougang to cut production and inventories to match orders and profitability. Chinese crude steel output fell 3% year-on-year in H1 2026 while consumption dropped 3.6%, pushing mill inventories to a three-year high of 16.02 million tons. Korean producers see potential relief from oversupply and price pressure if cuts prove deep and sustained. Read →
Vale shares rise slightly as iron ore benchmarks ease
The Rio Times
On Tuesday September 22, the 62% Fe benchmark CFR China settled at $97.32 per tonne, down 0.19%, while DCE most-traded iron ore futures fell 0.98% to 708 yuan per tonne. Vale New York shares edged up 0.28% to $14.19 and Rio Tinto rose 0.46% to $97.49 amid Chinese mills' cautious pre-holiday imported ore purchases. August crude steel output fell 3.7% year-on-year to 74.61 million tonnes. Read →
DCE iron ore futures drop 1.05% on Tuesday
Bastille Post
The most active Dalian iron ore contract for January 2027 delivery fell 1.05% to close at 708.00 yuan per tonne. SGX most-traded contract stood at $97.21 per dmt as of September 21. Spot prices eased 3-5 yuan per wet tonne with mills buying only as needed amid maintenance losses and rising port stocks. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold steadies near $4,340/oz as US-Iran talks ease oil-driven inflation fears and temper Fed hike bets.

Gold steadies near $4,340 as US-Iran talks ease oil inflation fears
Bloomberg
Spot gold traded around $4,340 an ounce, erasing prior-session gains. Traders monitored US-Iran diplomacy and Fed comments on how energy costs will shape the rate path after the central bank's first hike in three years. Lower oil prices reduced immediate inflation pressures that had supported bets on further tightening. Read →
Gold pares losses as lower oil prices damp rate-hike odds
Bloomberg
Bullion recovered from a 1.2% drop as Brent crude pared losses to near $98 a barrel after an 8% slide over four sessions. Easing Middle East export concerns and renewed US-Iran diplomacy cut the risk of sustained energy-driven inflation. The moves lowered the odds of additional Fed rate hikes that weigh on non-yielding metals. Read →
Spot gold slips 0.2% to $4,346; silver and PGMs fall
The Times of India
Spot gold fell 0.2% to $4,345.99 per ounce while US gold futures rose 0.2% to $4,382.70. Silver dropped 0.4% to $66.78, platinum 0.8% to $1,818.21 and palladium 0.4% to $1,302.61. Markets weighed higher-for-longer rates from major central banks alongside geopolitical developments. Read →

Tuesday, September 22, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper surges on China pre-holiday stockpiling and LME stock draw as backwardation widens.

Copper rises on China demand expectations and LME tightness
Reuters
Benchmark three-month copper on the LME rose 1.4% to $14,725 per tonne, touching $14,762.50, its highest since September 10. Available LME copper stocks fell to 133,725 tonnes after 9,600 tonnes of cancellations in Asia, shifting the cash contract to a $47 per tonne premium over the three-month contract. Yangshan copper premium eased to $119 per tonne while traders position ahead of China holidays and a potential Trump-Xi meeting. Read →
Capstone sells Cozamin mine to Luca for up to $385 million
Mining Technology
Capstone Copper agreed to sell its Cozamin copper-silver-zinc-lead underground mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, to Luca Mining for up to $385 million including $275 million cash upfront, $15 million in shares, $35 million deferred and up to $60 million in copper-price-linked contingent payments. The deal is expected to close in Q4 2026 subject to approvals and allows Capstone to redeploy capital into growth projects in Chile and the US. Cozamin is forecast to average 20,000 tonnes of copper and 1.3 million ounces of silver annually through 2030. Read →
Metals rise as dollar weakens; copper, lithium up
SMM
SMM midday comment noted broad gains in base metals and new-energy materials as the dollar weakened. SHFE copper and coking coal each rose more than 1% while lithium carbonate and polysilicon advanced over 2%. The move aligns with firmer physical signals including pre-holiday buying in China. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · China steel output rose 2% early Sep while iron ore futures held near $97/t SGX and 715 yuan/t DCE amid building port stocks.

Iron ore holds as China steel output climbs 2%
Rio Times Online
SGX October iron ore futures settled near US$97.05/t (up US$0.05) and DCE main contract near 715 yuan/t (down 0.07%) on Sep 21. CISA data showed large Chinese mills’ average daily crude steel output at 1.924 Mt in early September, up 2.0% from late August, with mill finished-steel stocks also rising 1.7%. The modest output increase supports iron ore demand but weak downstream conditions and CISA calls for production controls limit price upside. Read →
China 47-port iron ore stocks rise to 171.36 Mt
Mysteel
As of Sep 18, imported iron ore inventories at China’s 47 major ports reached 171.36 Mt, up 1.13 Mt or 0.7% week-on-week per Mysteel survey. Australian ore stocks rose to 85.25 Mt and Brazilian to 52.80 Mt, with daily discharge averaging 3.51 Mt. The rebound reverses prior destocking and adds supply pressure despite steel mills building holiday buffers ahead of Golden Week. Read →
CISA mills lift early-Sep crude steel output 2%
SteelOrbis
CISA reported large/medium Chinese steel enterprises averaged 1.924 Mt daily crude steel output Sep 1-10, up 2.0% from late August, with finished-steel inventories at member mills rising 1.7% to 16.52 Mt by Sep 10. The uptick ends a brief contraction but occurs amid oversupply signals and CISA urging mills to curb output and inventories. It highlights resilient blast-furnace production despite thin mill margins. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold ticks up on easing Treasury yields amid higher-for-longer Fed rate outlook.

Gold, silver rise in Asia on softer oil, rate outlook weighs.
Anshul · CNBC TV18
COMEX gold rose 0.17% to $4,391.30/oz and silver gained 0.58% to $66.80/oz in early Asian trade on Sep 22. Softer oil prices and hopes of US-Iran talks supported prices, while St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem's hawkish comments on further rate hikes capped gains. Investors await more Fed signals on policy. Read →
Artemis Gold buys Vista Gold for $427M in all-share deal.
Business Wire
Artemis Gold (TSXV:ARTG) will acquire Vista Gold (TSX:VGZ) in a $427 million all-share transaction, adding the Mt Todd gold project in Australia's Northern Territory. The deal values Vista at a 29% premium and gives Artemis a pathway to over 1 million oz annual production alongside its Blackwater mine. Closing is expected in January 2027 after approvals. Read →
Gold, silver, platinum, palladium all edge higher Tuesday.
Fahad Shabbir · UrduPoint / WAM
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,357.31/oz, silver 0.7% to $66.48/oz, platinum 0.8% to $1,811.28/oz and palladium 0.7% to $1,309.78/oz on Tuesday. Lower US Treasury yields provided support even as higher-for-longer rate expectations limited broader gains across the complex. Read →

Monday, September 21, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Chinese smelter maintenance and Shanghai port congestion tighten near-term copper supply, lifting LME prices.

Tight supply and demand pickup to lift copper prices.
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
LME copper closed Friday up 0.62% at $14,563/mt amid higher open interest. Multiple Chinese smelters enter maintenance October-November amid tight concentrates and blister, limiting refined supply growth. Shanghai social inventories fell sharply pre-holiday with spot premiums firming as downstream buying sentiment improved modestly. Read →
Copper eyes weekly gain as China demand offsets tariffs.
Reuters
Three-month LME copper rose 0.3% to $14,539/mt Friday and headed for a weekly gain above 2%. Yangshan premiums hit $121/mt, the highest since October 2022, reflecting stronger Chinese physical demand. SHFE stocks rose modestly after prior draws while LME tightness eased slightly into contango. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · DCE iron ore futures rose 0.70% to 715.5 yuan/t on pre-National Day restocking while SGX 62% Fe stayed near $97-98/t amid thin mill margins.

BHP, Baowu renew five-year low-carbon steel MoU
France Pinzon · Mining.com.au
BHP and China Baowu renewed their 2020 partnership with a new five-year MoU focused on modified blast-furnace tech and DRI trials using Pilbara ore. Target is at least 30% lower CO2 intensity versus conventional BF, potentially over 80% with CCS and renewables. Prior trials showed hydrogen DRI from Pilbara ore at half conventional BF emissions intensity, supporting future EAF pathways. Read →
DCE iron ore up 0.70% on holiday restocking; SGX flat
The Rio Times
Dalian most-traded iron ore contract settled at 715.5 yuan/t ($106.83/t) after rising 0.70%, driven by mills restocking ahead of the October National Day holiday. Benchmark 62% Fe futures stayed broadly flat near $97-98/t CFR China with Qingdao spot prices unchanged. August China imports hit 108.54 Mt (+3.1% YoY) while daily hot-metal output slipped 0.7% MoM, highlighting the gap between short-term buying and structural demand weakness. Read →
DCE iron ore futures close higher on restocking
Bastille Post
The most-active DCE iron ore contract for January 2027 delivery rose 0.70% to close at 715.50 yuan/t ($106.67/t). Gains reflect Chinese steelmakers accelerating seaborne purchases ahead of the holiday break despite ongoing pressure from weak domestic steel demand and thin mill margins. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold edges lower to $4,354/oz as traders weigh Middle East tensions, Fed rate path and inflation.

Gold edges lower as traders weigh inflation, Fed hike outlook
Bloomberg
Spot gold fell as much as 0.7% below $4,350 an ounce, erasing last week’s modest gain. Traders assessed persistent inflation risks and the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike since 2023, with several policymakers scheduled to speak this week. Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Read →
Gold falls as focus turns to Middle East and rates
Ashitha Shivaprasad · Reuters
Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4,354.30 an ounce amid fresh Iran-US tensions and expectations of further central-bank tightening. Oil prices eased on hopes of diplomatic progress, while silver, platinum and palladium also moved lower except palladium which rose 0.8%. Analysts noted official-sector demand continues to underpin prices structurally. Read →
Central banks buy gold at 91 tonnes a month pace
Ad-hoc News / World Gold Council data
Net central-bank purchases hit 23 tonnes in July with China adding 20 tonnes for its 21st straight month of buying. The pace of 91 tonnes per month far exceeds the pre-2022 average of 17 tonnes, providing a structural floor despite recent price volatility and rate-hike pressures. Read →
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · Week in Review →

Friday, September 18, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Chinese physical buying lifts LME copper toward weekly gain as Yangshan premium hits $121/t high.

Copper eyes weekly gain on China demand rebound.
Bloomberg
LME three-month copper held near $14,460/t on Friday, on track for a 1.6% weekly gain. Rebounding Chinese physical demand, shown by the Yangshan import premium reaching $121/t, offset Fed hawkish signals on rates. SHFE copper also rose, with low inventories supporting the move. Read →
Copper set for weekly gain as China demand offsets US policy pressure.
Reuters
LME copper slipped 0.2% to $14,467.50/t but headed for a 1.6% weekly advance. Stronger Chinese physical buying lifted the Yangshan premium to $121/t, its highest since October 2022, while SHFE stocks sat at 54,780 t, the lowest since January 2024. The move countered uncertainty over potential US refined copper tariffs. Read →
Copper rallies as Chinese buyers return to market.
Reuters
LME copper rose 1.2% to $14,408/t as Chinese buyers returned after a selloff. The Yangshan premium climbed to $118/t on Wednesday, its highest since October 2022, and domestic premiums over SHFE hit 645 yuan/t. SHFE-monitored stocks fell to 54,780 t amid shipments to the US on tariff expectations. Read →
Fatal accident hits Korea Zinc Onsan smelter; production impact unclear.
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
A fatal fall killed a subcontractor on September 16 at Korea Zinc's Onsan smelter in South Korea during roof work on the roaster-acid system. No production cuts or shutdown notices have been issued yet as investigations continue. The 640 ktpa zinc facility's output impact remains uncertain pending inspection scope. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Chinese mills restock seaborne iron ore ahead of National Day holiday, lifting SGX/DCE prices despite weak steel margins.

Iron ore heads for weekly gain on China restocking
Bloomberg
Singapore iron ore futures rose for a third day, gaining about 1% this week to as high as $97.45 a ton and erasing earlier losses. The move came as Chinese steelmakers increased seaborne purchases ahead of the October National Day holiday, even with weak underlying steel demand and shrinking mill margins. Prices remain below the $100 psychological level for a sixth session. Read →
Iron ore rises on China pre-holiday buying
Reuters
The most-traded DCE iron ore contract rose 0.35% to 711 yuan ($105.94) a ton while the SGX October benchmark added 0.26% to $96.05 a ton. Steelmakers booked more seaborne cargoes, with daily transaction volumes jumping 43% to 1.41 million tons on Wednesday per Mysteel data. Rebar futures gained 0.1% and hot-rolled coil 0.24% on the Shanghai exchange amid persistent mill losses. Read →
Vale shares rise on China holiday restocking
Rio Times Online
Vale New York shares rose 2.41% to $14.47 while Rio Tinto and BHP also gained over 2% as Chinese mills accelerated seaborne iron ore purchases before the October 1-7 holiday. Daily seaborne volumes hit 1.41 million tonnes, up 43%, supporting steel futures with rebar up 0.1% and hot-rolled coil 0.24%. The 62% Fe benchmark held near $97.41 a tonne. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold rebounds nearly 2% to $4,350/oz as oil eases and Treasury yields fall after Fed hike.

Gold holds gains near $4,350 as oil drops and yields ease post-Fed hike.
Bloomberg
Spot gold traded around $4,350 an ounce after rising almost 2% on Thursday, recovering most losses from the prior three sessions. The rebound followed the Fed's first rate hike since 2023 and a drop in oil prices that reduced inflation concerns. Lower Treasury yields across maturities also eased pressure on the non-yielding metal. Read →
Gold jumps over 2% as dollar and oil prices ease after Fed rate hike.
Noel John · Reuters
Spot gold rose 2.3% to $4,360.36 per ounce on Thursday, rebounding from a near six-week low. Easing oil prices to a one-week low and a softer US dollar supported the move, with silver up 4.2%, platinum up 1.8% and palladium up 1.6%. Traders assessed the Fed's rate increase and signals of further hikes. Read →
Venezuela nears deal to shift $4bn gold from Bank of England to New York Fed.
Financial Times
Venezuela's interim government and opposition are close to an agreement to transfer about $4 billion in central bank gold reserves from the Bank of England to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The deal would give legal control to the interim government of Delcy Rodríguez but bar immediate sales; the gold could serve as collateral for borrowing to fund earthquake reconstruction. This would end a seven-year dispute over the holdings. Read →

Thursday, September 17, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper rises as China Yangshan import premium hits $118/t, highest in nearly four years.

Copper rises on China demand signals, Yangshan premium at $118/t.
Reuters
LME three-month copper rose 0.7-1.1% to around $14,188-$14,231 per tonne on signs of active Chinese buying. The Yangshan premium jumped 7% to $118 per tonne, its highest in nearly four years, as buyers restock after a price dip. BNP Paribas noted the move eases prior tightness while LME spreads shifted into contango. Read →
Copper rebounds as Yangshan premium climbs to $118/t high.
Finimize
LME copper climbed about 1.1% to near $14,237 per tonne amid firmer Chinese import appetite. The Yangshan premium rose to $118 per tonne, the strongest level in almost four years, signaling restocking by Chinese buyers. COMEX-LME premium narrowed and inflows to US warehouses slowed amid ongoing US tariff uncertainty. Read →
Alba aluminium output at 80% of pre-war levels amid disruptions.
Tom Daly · Reuters
Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) CEO said the smelter operates at 80% of pre-Iran war capacity, or 1.3 million tonnes per year from lines 4-6. Exports route via Jeddah and Sohar after Strait of Hormuz issues; alumina arrives by 300-350 daily truckloads. Full 1.6 million tonne capacity return depends on raw materials and regional stability. Read →
Lithium Argentina closes $180m Ganfeng convertible note deal.
INN / Mining Weekly
Lithium Argentina closed a $180 million strategic investment from Ganfeng Lithium via a six-year 4% unsecured convertible note convertible at $12.50 per share. Proceeds plus cash will repay $259 million in notes due January 2027, strengthening the balance sheet for Caucharí-Olaroz Stage 2 and PPG project integration. Ganfeng stake rises to 16.1% on full conversion. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · CISA self-discipline pledge and pre-holiday restocking lift DCE iron ore 0.35% to 711 yuan while SGX holds below $100.

DCE iron ore rises 0.35% to 711 yuan on holiday buying.
Reuters
Dalian iron ore futures climbed 0.35% to 711 yuan per tonne as mills booked seaborne cargoes ahead of October National Day holidays, with Mysteel data showing a 43% jump in transactions. SGX October futures edged 0.26% higher to $96.05, remaining below $100. Analysts noted tumbling mill margins may limit further restocking and output gains. Read →
Rebar and HRC futures edge higher on Shanghai exchange.
Reuters
Shanghai Futures Exchange rebar rose 0.1% and hot-rolled coil 0.24% alongside iron ore gains. Coking coal and coke also advanced over 1%. Weak underlying steel demand from construction persists despite the short-term buying surge. Read →
Baowu considers 15-25% Jimblebar stake from BHP.
Reuters
China Baowu, the world’s largest steelmaker, is exploring a 15-25% stake in BHP’s Jimblebar mine, which produced 62.5 million tonnes for BHP in FY2026. The interest comes amid ongoing contract tensions and could deepen Chinese influence over major Pilbara supply. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Fed's first rate hike since 2023 and hawkish dot plot drive gold lower to $4,270/oz after three-session drop.

Gold holds decline after Fed raises rates, tilts hawkish
Bloomberg
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points for the first time in three years and signaled another hike likely before year-end via its median dot plot at 4.1%. Gold fell 2% over three sessions to around $4,270/oz as higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. The move followed sticky inflation and elevated oil prices, pressuring precious metals broadly. Read →
Gold and silver slip after Fed hike and hawkish signal
Anshul · CNBC TV18
COMEX gold fell 0.88% to $4,348.90/oz and silver 0.90% to $64.335/oz on Thursday following the Fed's unanimous 25 bp hike and projections for further tightening. The decision shifts focus to yields and the dollar as headwinds for non-yielding metals. Oil's decline provided some relief but did not offset the hawkish policy tilt. Read →

Wednesday, September 16, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper rebounds from 3-week lows on LME as Shanghai spot premiums hit yearly high amid tight physical supply.

Nornickel negotiates copper processing deal with North Copper in China.
Bloomberg
Nornickel is in talks with China's North Copper Co. to process its copper concentrate at facilities in Houma, Shanxi, potentially closing its polluting Norilsk smelter. The upgrade could take up to two years and targets Nornickel's higher-nickel concentrates. The move shifts final-stage processing to China, cutting costs amid sanctions and customer proximity. Read →
Lithium Argentina closes $180M Ganfeng convertible note investment.
Marleny Arnoldi · Mining Weekly
Lithium Argentina closed a $180 million strategic investment from Ganfeng via a six-year 4% convertible note, using proceeds plus cash to repay $259 million notes due January 2027. Ganfeng's stake rises to 16.1% on full conversion. Funds strengthen the balance sheet for Stage 2 at Cauchari-Olaroz and the PPG project in Argentina. Read →
LME copper falls to 3-week low as LME stocks rise and oil prices climb.
Reuters
Three-month LME copper hit a low near $13,926/t before recovering modestly, its weakest since August 20, as warehouse stocks climbed nearly 20% since mid-August to 242,900 t. Rising oil prices above $107/bbl reinforced growth concerns for manufacturing demand. Yangshan premiums for imported copper rose to $110/t, the highest since early August, signaling firmer Chinese physical interest. Read →
Atlantic Copper opens CirCular plant to recover 60,000 t/y metals from e-waste.
SMM / ABC / El Confidencial
Atlantic Copper inaugurated its CirCular facility in Huelva, Spain, with 550 million euro investment and 60,000 t/y capacity to extract copper, gold, silver, palladium, platinum, tin and nickel from end-of-life electronics. The plant processes mobiles, tablets, cameras and batteries as primary feedstock. It positions Spain among few nations with large-scale industrial e-waste metal recovery and supports EU circular economy targets. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · CISA urges 45 mills including Baowu and HBIS to curb output and slash inventories as steel margins collapse and iron ore futures hover near $96/t.

CISA urges 45 mills to cut output and inventories
Bloomberg
The China Iron and Steel Association called on 45 major mills, including Baowu, Ansteel, Shougang and HBIS, to strictly implement production controls and reduce inventories. Mills face oversupply, weak demand and plunging profitability with core steelmaking profits down 40% in H1. The move targets blast-furnace output to ease pressure on iron ore demand. Read →
Iron ore futures drop nearly 5% to $96/t on weak China demand
Markets reporter · Australian Financial Review
Iron ore futures fell nearly 5% over the past week to around $96/t amid higher steelmaking input costs and eroding mill margins. Prolonged China property downturn and rising global supply from Australia and Brazil weigh on prices. Miners including BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue face softer near-term pricing. Read →
Capesize rates near $50k/day despite China steel weakness
Sam Chambers · Splash247
Capesize earnings stay near $50,000/day on strong iron ore volumes, yet Chinese crude steel output fell 3.7% y/y in August to 74.61 Mt with daily output at an eight-month low. CISA’s fresh call for output cuts and inventory reduction adds downside risk to ore demand. Port stocks remain elevated 14% above norms. Read →
Vale shares drop 0.96% as China steel output cools
Rio Times Online
Vale fell 0.96% to US$14.47 in New York while the Dalian iron ore contract slipped 0.14% to 707.5 yuan/t. China’s July crude steel output dropped 3.6% y/y to 76.93 Mt even as seven-month ore imports rose 6% to 736.84 Mt. Elevated port inventories signal mills are stockpiling rather than consuming. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold rises 0.8% to $4,328/oz as oil eases ahead of Fed rate decision.

Gold ticks up as Fed rate decision looms with hike priced in.
Ashitha Shivaprasad · Reuters
Spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,328.39/oz with silver up 1.5% to $64.60, platinum +0.7% and palladium +1.6-2.2%. Traders priced in a 92%+ chance of a 25bp Fed hike later Wednesday; easing oil prices and fiscal concerns provided support despite the expected rate increase. Read →
Gold steadies below $4,300 ahead of Fed policy decision.
Bloomberg
Bullion traded around $4,290/oz after a two-day drop. Elevated oil prices and inflation concerns kept rate-hike bets near certainty, with traders assigning a 92-93% probability of a Fed increase that typically weighs on non-yielding gold. Read →

Tuesday, September 15, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · LME copper steadies near $14,000/t as fresh warehouse deliveries ease supply squeeze after record highs.

Copper steadies near $14k/t on LME warehouse inflows
Bloomberg
LME three-month copper steadied after hitting a four-week low, with new deliveries into exchange warehouses signaling relief from the prior supply squeeze. Prices pulled back sharply from last week’s record high driven by US tariff anticipation that diverted metal to COMEX. The move highlights how tariff-driven inventory shifts, rather than broad demand changes, are dominating near-term price action. Read →
Copper hits 3-week low on rising LME stocks and stronger dollar
Business Recorder / Reuters
Benchmark three-month LME copper fell 1.2% to around $14,065/t, its lowest since Aug 20, after 9,600 tonnes of inflows lifted inventories and a stronger dollar weighed on industrial metals. COMEX stocks dipped for the first time in 58 days. The cash-to-three-month spread widened, indicating easing near-term tightness amid ongoing US tariff uncertainty. Read →
Copper falls on US tariff decision delay uncertainty
Business Recorder / Reuters
Three-month LME copper slipped 0.20% to $14,212/t and SHFE copper dropped 0.39% as traders focused on the delayed Section 232 tariff ruling now eyed for Sep 28. White House indecision has clouded inventory arbitrage flows, leaving brokers cautious and bearish near term. COMEX stocks had built steadily on tariff expectations before the recent pause. Read →
SHFE copper stocks hit two-year low on regional mismatch
World Metal Resources / Changjiang
SHFE copper inventories fell 13.05% week-over-week to 54,780 tonnes, a new multi-year low, while global stocks diverge with COMEX building on US tariff flows and LME seeing selective inflows. The mismatch underscores how policy expectations are redirecting physical metal across regions faster than underlying mine or smelter supply shifts. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · China steel mill losses hit record low, driving iron ore futures to multi-week lows on SGX and DCE.

China buyer tells mills to pause Rio Tinto Pilbara Blend buys
Alfred Cang and Katharine Gemmell · The West Australian / Bloomberg
China Mineral Resources Group instructed some steel mills to hold off on purchases of Rio Tinto’s flagship Pilbara Blend as annual contract talks reach a critical stage. The directive follows a similar pattern used against BHP and Fortescue, tightening CMRG’s leverage over more than half of China’s iron ore imports. It adds immediate pressure on seaborne supply flows and miner pricing power. Read →
Indonesia probes Chinese galvanised steel imports for dumping
Bernadette Christina Munthe · Reuters
Indonesia’s Trade Ministry opened a formal anti-dumping probe into nine categories of galvanised steel from China after domestic producers reported material injury. China accounted for 81% of Indonesia’s 2.56 million tonne imports of the products from 2023-2025. The 12-month investigation signals rising global protectionism against Chinese steel export surges. Read →
Iron ore futures fall as China steel margins hit lows
Reuters
DCE January iron ore futures fell 1.6% to 708.5 yuan per tonne while SGX October contracts eased near 1% to around US$95.65 per tonne. Steel mill profitability plunged 22.51 percentage points week-on-week to a record low 7.79%, prompting output cuts. Port stock reductions limited the downside but failed to offset demand weakness. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Oil above $100 and hotter US inflation lift Fed rate-hike odds, pressuring gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices.

Gold dips as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike odds
Bloomberg
Gold fell as much as 2.2% below $4,300/oz after hotter-than-expected US inflation data and surging oil prices above $100 reinforced expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes this week. Higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar added pressure. The move highlights near-term headwinds for precious metals from tighter policy bets despite longer-term support factors. Read →
Platinum forecast shifts to 2026 surplus on weak demand
Joe Stonor · Wall Street Journal
The World Platinum Investment Council revised its 2026 forecast to a slim surplus of 265,000 troy ounces from a prior 297,000-ounce deficit. Total demand is now expected to fall 18% year-on-year due to investor selling and weaker Chinese jewelry demand, though longer-term demand may benefit from AI infrastructure build-out. The shift marks the first surplus since 2022. Read →
Tharisa prices $300m bond for Karo platinum mine
Lumkile Nkomfe · Mining Weekly
Tharisa priced a $300 million five-year senior secured Nordic bond at 98% of par with an 11% coupon to fund completion of its Karo Platinum Project in Zimbabwe. The oversubscribed offering drew broad global institutional demand and will support first ore to the mill in Q4 2027, more than doubling the company's PGM output once ramped up. Read →

Monday, September 14, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper slips on hotter US inflation lifting Fed rate-hike odds, pressuring the base metals complex.

Copper slips on US inflation data boosting Fed hike bets
Bloomberg
LME copper futures fell as much as 0.6% after hotter-than-expected US inflation data prompted traders to raise bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes. Most other major base metal contracts also traded lower amid a stronger dollar and broader risk-asset pressure. The move follows copper’s first weekly decline since June. Read →
Glencore, Mercuria eye Venezuela’s largest aluminium smelter
Jackson Chen · Mining.com.au
Glencore and Mercuria are separately in talks with Venezuela’s government over potential deals for the state-owned Venalum smelter, Latin America’s largest with 430,000 tpa capacity. Discussions include operating the facility and securing access to its output. Interest comes amid global aluminium supply disruptions from Middle East conflict. Read →
China sees coordinated base metals inventory drawdowns
X (Twitter)
SMM data shows SHFE copper inventories at 54,780 t after a 13.05% weekly drop, aluminium down 4.67%, while zinc rose modestly. Coordinated destocking in China reinforces physical market tightness outside the US, supporting near-term pricing for copper and aluminium despite macro headwinds. Read →
SMM reports broad base metals price declines
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
SMM spot prices on Sep 14 showed copper cathode at $16,193.77/t (-51.85), aluminium ingot at $3,580.94/t (-21.28), zinc at $3,914.05/t (-41.85), nickel at $18,752.32/t (-209.81), tin at $59,870.62/t (-1,147.03), and battery-grade lithium carbonate at $20,618.63/t (-520.58). SHFE inventories reflected mixed but generally tight conditions across the complex. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · China steel mill losses force blast-furnace output cuts, pressuring iron ore prices and SGX/DCE futures.

Whyalla steelworks shuts blast furnace, cuts 600 jobs
Bloomberg
Administrators KordaMentha announced the permanent closure of the 60-year-old blast furnace at Whyalla steelworks in South Australia after failed restart attempts. The move affects 500 employees and 100 contractors, reducing the workforce from 1,700 to about 1,200 while the sale process continues with government support. The shutdown highlights challenges for aging integrated steel operations amid shifting technology and weak margins. Read →
China iron ore futures fall on weak steel margins
Mysteel / Trading Economics
DCE iron ore futures dropped to around 708.50 CNY/t, down 1.32% on the session and extending a multi-day decline. Weakening profitability at Chinese steel mills, with only about 30% profitable recently, drove production curbs including lower blast-furnace operating rates and pig-iron output. Port inventories slipped modestly while mill restocking remained limited, weighing on near-term demand for imported ore. Read →
Iron ore falls as China steel output cuts hit demand
Rio Times
Chinese blast-furnace operating rates fell 0.48 percentage points week-on-week to 89.08%, with daily pig-iron output dropping 5,200 tonnes to 2.4028 million tonnes. Mysteel’s SEADEX 61% Fe fines index declined $1.50/t to $95.85 while DCE futures settled 1.71% lower at 718 CNY/t. The cuts directly reduced demand for seaborne iron ore, pressuring prices and miner valuations including Vale. Read →
China iron ore port stocks fall to 170.23 Mt
Mysteel
Mysteel’s survey showed imported iron ore inventories at 47 major Chinese ports declined 1.08 million tonnes or 0.6% week-on-week to 170.23 million tonnes as of September 10. The second straight weekly drop occurred amid subdued steelmaker demand and production curtailments. Spot and futures prices for imported ore weakened over the prior week as mills responded to deepening losses. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Hotter-than-expected US August core CPI lifts September Fed hike odds to 90%, pressuring gold and silver prices.

Gold rebounds on dip-buying as Fed hike odds climb post-CPI.
Pablo Sinha · Reuters
Spot gold rose over 1% on Friday to around $4,377 after August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, exceeding the 0.2% forecast and pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September rate hike to roughly 90%. The print reinforced expectations of tighter policy amid resilient inflation and higher oil prices, yet physical buying supported prices near $4,350 support. The move highlights gold's dual role as both a hedge and a rate-sensitive asset in the current environment. Read →
Tharisa prices $300m bond to fund Zimbabwe platinum mine.
Liesl Peyper · Miningmx
Tharisa successfully priced a $300 million five-year senior secured Nordic bond at 98% of par with an 11% coupon to complete its Karo platinum project in Zimbabwe, where first ore is expected in Q4 2027. The oversubscribed offering drew broad international demand and follows a 25-year mining lease and offtake agreement, positioning the company to more than double PGM output. The financing de-risks a major new supply source in a market facing potential deficits. Read →
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · Week in Review →

Friday, September 11, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · US tariff hesitation triggers sharp copper pullback from record highs as arbitrage premium collapses.

White House stalls copper tariff plan over cost concerns.
Jarrett Renshaw and Ernest Scheyder · Reuters
The White House has not decided on refined copper import tariffs after weighing higher manufacturing costs against domestic mining incentives. Copper prices hit records on tariff expectations that drove massive US inflows and global inventory drains. The stall removes a key premium, with LME three-month copper falling over 3% and COMEX-LME spread turning negative. Read →
US copper premium sinks on tariff stall report.
Reuters
The premium for shipping copper to the US fell sharply after the Reuters tariff stall report. LME three-month copper dropped 3% to $14,329.50 per ton while COMEX prices fell 4.7%, narrowing the spread to near zero or negative. COMEX stocks reached a record 696,259 metric tons after months of tariff-driven inflows. Read →
Copper falls on White House tariff hesitation report.
Reuters
Three-month copper on the LME fell 3.1% to $14,312 per ton after hitting a record $14,875 earlier Thursday following the Reuters report. COMEX October futures slid 4.2% as the tariff premium eroded. The metal had gained 16% this year on inventory shifts ahead of potential duties. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Iron ore futures extend fall below CNY 720/t as Chinese steel mill profitability drops to 8% and blast furnace rates slip.

Iron ore heads for steepest weekly loss since June on weak China margins.
Bloomberg
Singapore iron ore futures fell nearly 3% this week to as low as $96.40/t, erasing a Tuesday rebound. Steel mill margins deteriorated with only around 8% of Chinese mills profitable, the lowest since September 2024, while hot metal output stayed seasonally weak. The drop signals softer near-term demand for the steelmaking ingredient. Read →
Iron ore futures fall below CNY 720/t on weakening China steel margins.
TradingView News
Dalian and SGX iron ore futures extended losses for a third session below CNY 720 per ton. Only 8% of Chinese mills remained profitable, down from 30% weekly and 60% a year earlier, squeezed by high coke prices. CMRG reportedly advised mills to avoid Rio Tinto’s Pilbara Blend amid contract talks. Read →
Seaborne iron ore falls as China blast furnace rates drop to 89.08%.
Rio Times Online
Mysteel’s SEADEX 61% Fines index dropped US$1.25/dmt to US$97.35 on Thursday. China’s blast furnace operating rate fell 0.48 percentage points week-on-week to 89.08%, with daily pig iron output down 5,200 mt to 2.4028 million mt. Rio Tinto shares fell 4.19% while Vale slipped 1.04%. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold holds near $4,330/oz as hot US PPI and oil above $100/bbl lift Fed rate-hike odds, pressuring the complex.

Global gold ETFs add record $18B inflows in August
World Gold Council / Kitco News
Global gold ETFs recorded $18 billion in net inflows for August, the second-largest monthly total on record, pushing holdings to a record 4,189 tonnes and AUM to $615 billion. North America and Europe led with $7.7 billion and $7.9 billion respectively, reflecting renewed institutional allocation amid higher gold prices and portfolio diversification needs. Read →
BMI cuts 2026 platinum and palladium forecasts on weaker auto demand
MINING.COM
BMI lowered its 2026 platinum average price forecast to $1,900/oz from $2,000 and palladium to $1,400/oz from $1,500, citing softer car sales and faster-than-expected recovery in South African mine output. The firm still projects deficits for both metals this year but notes platinum’s longer-term structural support from industrial uses. Read →

Thursday, September 10, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper hits fresh LME record near $14,860/t on US tariff-driven inventory shifts and mine supply shortfalls.

Copper reaches new LME highs on tariff fears and global mine supply issues
Giulia Petroni · Wall Street Journal
Three-month LME copper futures climbed 1.5% to $14,728 per tonne after touching $14,779 intraday, up nearly 18% year-to-date. Global copper mine production fell 1.1% in the first half of 2026 amid operational challenges at major mines. Comex copper for September delivery rose 2.2% to a record $6.739 per pound as tariff concerns distort trade flows. Read →
Copper eases from records as China imports fall and mine output declines
Mining.com
LME three-month copper slipped 0.4% to $14,645.50 per tonne after hitting $14,779 on Tuesday. China’s August unwrought copper imports dropped to 382,000 tonnes, the weakest August in six years and 6.7% below last year’s total through August. Global mine production fell 1.1% in H1 2026, with analysts now forecasting flat-to-lower output for the full year, the first annual decline since 2017. Read →
China builds aluminium smelters abroad to bypass domestic capacity cap
Andy Home · Reuters
Chinese smelters are exceeding Beijing’s 45-million-tonne annual capacity cap, with output running above the limit for months due to strong margins and low alumina costs. Producers are investing in new smelters in Indonesia and elsewhere, including projects by Tsingshan partners and others in Kazakhstan and Angola. This expands China’s global share toward 63% as Western capacity lags. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · CMRG directs mills to pause Rio Tinto Pilbara Blend purchases amid contract talks, pressuring the 62% Fe complex.

Vale slips; Dalian iron ore futures ease to 738 CNY/t
Rio Times Online
On Sep 9, Vale shares fell 0.77% to US$15.44 while the 62% Fe benchmark held near US$100/t; the most active Dalian contract closed down 0.87% at 738 CNY/t. Chinese mills remain in the Golden September restocking window but face structurally lower steel output. Vale reaffirmed its 335-345 Mt 2026 production guidance amid a seaborne surplus. Read →
Rio pursues bauxite deal as CMRG pauses ore buys
France Pinzon · Mining.com.au
Rio Tinto agreed to acquire the Aurukun bauxite project while facing CMRG instructions for some mills to hold off on Pilbara Blend purchases during contract negotiations. The pause echoes prior CMRG actions against other Australian miners. CMRG centralizes purchases representing over half of China’s annual iron ore import volumes. Read →
DCE iron ore dips on soft fundamentals
Dow Jones Newswires / TradingView
The most active January Dalian iron ore contract fell about 0.5% to CNY733.5/t in early trade as steel market weakness limits restocking gains despite pre-holiday support and elevated freight. Domestic supply is rising while mill margins stay pressured. Prices are expected to remain rangebound under persistent supply pressure. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Platinum gains on shifting Fed rate expectations while gold and silver stabilize near $4,397/oz and $67.30/oz.

Platinum rises as gold, silver stabilize amid Fed outlook shifts
Sharjah24-WAM
Spot gold held near $4,396.69/oz and silver at $67.30/oz with modest futures moves. Platinum climbed 0.1% to $1,897.57/oz and palladium 0.2% to $1,355.44/oz. The moves reflect shifting U.S. rate expectations and resilient data, giving PGMs relative strength versus gold and silver. Read →
Gold steady ahead of U.S. PPI and CPI data
Reuters via Economic Times
Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $4,396.69/oz as traders awaited U.S. PPI today and CPI Friday. Markets price a 60% chance of a rate hike at the next Fed meeting. Platinum rose 0.1% while the WPIC noted a shift to the first platinum surplus since 2022 on weaker investment and jewelry demand. Read →

Wednesday, September 9, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · LME copper hits fresh records near $14,700-14,800/t as US tariff fears drain non-US stocks and COMEX hoards hit records.

Copper hits new LME record on tight non-US supply and US tariff flows.
Reuters via Business Recorder
Three-month LME copper rose 1.1% to $14,674/t, surpassing Monday's record, with SHFE copper also hitting highs near 110,890 yuan. Physical metal is flowing heavily to the US on tariff expectations, pushing LME stocks down nearly 40% since late May and SHFE inventories to their lowest since January 2024 at 63,000 t. Zinc, aluminum, nickel and tin posted smaller gains amid the broader tightness. Read →
Copper extends rally to fresh LME high on supply squeeze and US tariffs.
The Edge / Bloomberg via I3investor
LME three-month copper touched an all-time peak of $14,635/t, up for a fourth session and 17% YTD, as refined copper shifts to the US ahead of possible tariffs and LME stocks drain. China peak-season demand is expected to support prices while mine output risks its first annual decline since 2017; other metals were mixed with nickel and zinc higher. Read →
LME copper dips from record but stays elevated on US inventory build.
Reuters via Business Recorder
LME copper fell 0.55% to $14,628/t after Tuesday's all-time high of $14,779/t as COMEX stocks climbed further to 797,275 short tons. Analysts see potential for a test of $15,000/t soon if tariffs proceed, though the move is increasingly policy-driven and vulnerable to delays; other LME metals edged lower. Read →
Base metals retreat from LME records amid Middle East escalation.
Bloomberg News · Bloomberg
The LME all-in base metals index hit a record Tuesday on copper strength, aluminum gains and zinc above $4,000/t for the first time since 2022 before retreating on Middle East risks. Supply tightness drove the advance, but geopolitical threats to global growth now weigh on sentiment. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Iron ore holds above $100/t as DCE futures rise 1.36% on Golden September hopes and falling shipments.

Iron ore stays above $100 as Dalian futures gain 1.36%.
Rio Times Online
The SGX 62% Fe benchmark settled at $100.02/t, up 0.45%. DCE most-traded contract climbed to 744.5 yuan/t. Vale shares rose 1.90% to $15.56 as mills enter peak season with controlled output and higher coke costs. Read →
China Aug iron ore imports rise 0.4% m/m to 108.54 Mt.
Reuters
Imports hit 108.54 Mt, up 3.1% y/y and beating forecasts for a drop. Delayed July clearances from typhoons drove the gain; global shipments to China rose 6.6% m/m per Kpler. Steel exports stayed firm at 10.16 Mt. Read →
DCE iron ore futures rise 1.36% amid peak-season hopes.
Metals Market Index / Hellenic Shipping News
DCE I2701 settled at 744.5 yuan/mt, up 1.36%. Qingdao spot prices gained 6-7 yuan/mt. Blast-furnace maintenance cut hot-metal output further while rising freight rates and September-October restocking sentiment lifted futures. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · PBoC adds 20.2t gold in August, its largest purchase since 2023, extending 22-month buying streak amid rate-hike bets.

PBoC adds record 20.2t gold in August, biggest since 2023
Ernest Hoffman · Kitco News
China’s central bank added 20.2 metric tonnes of gold in August, its largest monthly purchase since October 2023, lifting official holdings to roughly 2,387 tonnes and marking the 22nd straight month of accumulation. The move came as prices pulled back earlier in the year and follows double-digit monthly buys since May. Central banks led by China and Poland remain the dominant buyers year-to-date, with reported purchases totaling around 130t so far in 2026. Read →

Tuesday, September 8, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · Copper hits fresh LME record at $14,617/t on tight supplies and US tariff expectations.

Core Lithium produces first Finniss spodumene concentrate
Paula Fabe · Mining.com.au
Core Lithium produced its first spodumene concentrate from the restarted Finniss plant in Australia's Northern Territory. The milestone came six months after the final investment decision, with plant throughput boosted 20% to 1.2 Mtpa via upgrades. First shipments of new concentrate are targeted for Q4 2026. Read →
LME posts latest base metals official prices
Business Recorder
LME cash copper settled near $14,371 a ton with zinc cash at $4,086 a ton amid backwardation signals. Aluminum cash was around $3,292 a ton while nickel and lead showed mixed moves. Stocks data reflected ongoing tightness in several contracts. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · China CMRG tells mills to pause Rio Tinto Pilbara Blend buys as contract talks hit crunch; iron ore tops $100/t on SGX.

CMRG directs mills to pause Rio Tinto Pilbara Blend purchases
Bloomberg
China Mineral Resources Group instructed some steel mills to halt purchases and negotiations for Rio Tinto’s flagship Pilbara Blend as annual contract talks reach a critical stage. The move mirrors prior pressure tactics used against BHP and Fortescue to consolidate CMRG’s bargaining power over more than half of China’s iron ore imports. It directly threatens Rio’s sales into its largest market and adds downside risk to benchmark pricing amid already soft steel demand. Read →
BHP-Port Hedland union pay talks extend to next week
Reuters
BHP and Combined BHP Ports Unions failed to reach a four-year wage agreement at Tuesday talks; negotiations resume next week under Fair Work Commission facilitation. BHP’s latest offer includes a 17% pay rise over four years plus A$25,000 transition payments. Port Hedland handles the bulk of BHP’s iron ore exports, so prolonged disputes risk loading delays at the world’s largest iron ore port. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · China PBOC adds 650k oz gold in August, most since 2023, extending 22-month buying streak.

China adds most gold since 2023 despite price surge
Jessica Zhou and Jack Ryan · Bloomberg
People’s Bank of China bought 650,000 ounces of gold in August, its largest monthly addition since October 2023 and 22nd straight month of purchases. Official reserves reached 76.73 million ounces. Persistent central-bank demand underpins long-term gold prices even amid volatility from U.S. data and geopolitics. Read →
Gold edges higher ahead of U.S. inflation data
Reuters
Spot gold rose 0.1% to near $4,407/oz as the dollar slipped, with traders eyeing Thursday PPI and Friday CPI prints that could shift Fed rate-hike odds. Silver gained 0.1% while platinum and palladium eased slightly. BMI lowered 2026 platinum and palladium forecasts on weaker auto demand and rising supply. Read →
Bulls dominate gold positioning and flows
Wall Street Journal
Société Générale reports bullish signals across gold positioning, ETF flows, futures and options from retail to institutions. Market awaits August central-bank data to gauge durability of official-sector support, a core pillar of the current bull run. Read →

Monday, September 7, 2026Full issue →

Base Metals

What's moving · US jobs beat lifts Fed hike odds, pulling copper to $14,377/t as SHFE stocks drop 13% to 63kt.

Copper slips after 10-week rally as Fed hike bets rise
Reuters
Three-month LME copper fell 0.27% to $14,377/t after strong US August payrolls of 162k boosted September Fed rate-hike odds. SHFE copper inventories plunged 13% last week to a January 2024 low of 63,000 tonnes while LME stocks slipped another 475 tonnes. US imports hit a July record on tariff expectations, draining metal from Asia and Europe and keeping the market tight outside the US. Read →
LME weekly review for week ending Sep 4
LME Insight
LME copper held near highs supported by thin ex-US availability and a soft dollar, extending a 10-week rally streak. Zinc and aluminum showed backwardation on low stocks while nickel and tin posted modest moves. Record US copper inflows continued amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Read →
Copper edges up on thinning stocks
Reuters
Benchmark LME copper rose 0.3% to $14,373/t, on track for a 10th straight weekly gain as ex-US inventories thinned and the dollar weakened. SHFE copper stocks fell 13% to 63,000 tonnes, the lowest since January 2024, while LME stocks dipped 475 tonnes with further withdrawals ordered. Read →
Iron Ore & Steel

What's moving · Iron ore SGX futures surge above $100/t on coking coal position unwinds and China pre-holiday restocking hopes.

Iron ore tops $100/t on unwinds, China restock hopes
Bloomberg
SGX iron ore futures rose as much as 1.6% to $101.10/t, the highest intraday level since July 2, breaking above the $100 mark for the first time in seven weeks. The move stems from traders unwinding long coking coal/short iron ore spreads plus optimism for mill restocking ahead of China's October National Day holidays and a seasonal construction pickup. Dalian futures gained 1.4% while coking coal eased after its rally. Read →
DCE iron ore futures close higher
Xinhua
The most active DCE iron ore contract for September 2026 delivery gained 1 yuan to close at 738 yuan per tonne in daytime trading. Total volume across 11 contracts reached 245,977 lots. China remains the world's largest iron ore importer with DCE futures open to international investors since 2018. Read →
CMRG halts some Rio Tinto talks to boost leverage
Reuters
China Mineral Resources Group directed some mills to pause September shipment negotiations with Rio Tinto to pressure more volume into centralized procurement and strengthen bargaining power. The move targets Australia's top supplier during annual contract talks; DCE and SGX iron ore futures rose on the news. Read →
Precious Metals

What's moving · Gold slips 0.7% to $4,398/oz as strong US jobs data boosts September rate-hike odds to 58%.

Gold slips on US jobs data lifting rate-hike bets
Ashitha Shivaprasad · Reuters
Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,398.13/oz after August US nonfarm payrolls beat expectations and the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Traders now price a 58.4% chance of a Fed rate hike at the Sept. 15-16 meeting, with CPI and PPI data due this week. Silver eased 1% to $65.53/oz, platinum lost 0.8% and palladium fell 0.5%. Read →
Central banks add 23t gold in July led by China, Poland
Sunil Dhawan · Financial Express
World Gold Council data show central banks net bought 23 tonnes of gold in July. China added 20 tonnes for its 21st straight month, Poland bought 8 tonnes and leads 2026 buyers with 90 tonnes YTD. Russia sold 6 tonnes, the largest seller that month. Read →
Platinum rises 0.23%, palladium falls 1.37% in China spot
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)
China Platinum spot gained 4.66 yuan (+0.23%) while imported palladium dropped 21.31 yuan (-1.37%) and domestic palladium fell 16.75 yuan (-1.12%) on Sep 7. Platinum futures extended a rebound amid sluggish spot trading; palladium futures swung lower on broader precious-metals pressure. Read →
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