US Natural Gas
Every weekday's US Natural Gas stories from Morgan Downey's Commodity News email, newest first, with the day's what-moved line (Mon, Jun 15 to Fri, Jul 10). Open a date for the full issue across every commodity.
What's moving · Freeport LNG maintenance and 61 Bcf EIA storage build drive US natgas to six-week low near $3.01/MMBtu.
Storage build and Freeport outage sink natgas futuresNatural Gas Intelligence
The EIA's 61 Bcf injection exceeded expectations despite record heat and power demand. Freeport LNG maintenance announcement curbed confidence in near-term LNG exports. Futures fell sharply with cash prices also retreating amid ample supply signals.
Read → EIA reports 61 Bcf injection, sinks futuresChris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
The EIA reported a 61 Bcf net injection for the week ended July 3, a bearish surprise versus forecasts despite heat-driven demand. Working gas reached 2,983 Bcf, 185 Bcf above the five-year average. The larger-than-expected build accelerated futures declines.
Read → Spot prices fall on ample supply signalsKevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
Henry Hub spot prices retreated as buyers focused on strong overall supply rather than summer cooling demand. Western and cooling demand outlooks contrasted with LNG support concerns. Cash market weakness reflected elevated inventories and production levels.
Read → What's moving · US natgas futures hold near $3.22/MMBtu as LNG feedgas rebounds to 18.2 Bcf/d amid heat-driven power burn.
US LNG feedgas rebounds to 18.2 Bcf/d after Sabine maintenance dipJacob Dick · Natural Gas Intelligence
US LNG feedgas demand recovered to 18.2 Bcf/d on Wednesday despite Sabine Pass compressor maintenance that cut nominations to 3.9 Bcf/d Tuesday. Plaquemines ran near full at 3.9 Bcf/d and Freeport hit a summer high of 1.7 Bcf/d. The stabilization supports export demand that averaged 17.8 bcfd in July so far.
Read → Natgas futures rangebound ahead of storage report and Iran newsKevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
August NYMEX futures see-sawed and closed little changed as traders weighed hot weather, lighter production, and expectations for a 55 Bcf storage build. Geopolitical uncertainty from Iran-US tensions added volatility but failed to break the summer trading range.
Read → Futures tread water despite Iran conflict and heat forecastsAndrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
August futures slipped less than a penny to $3.259/MMBtu midday as Middle East escalation and strong two-week heat maps provided little lift. Traders focused on domestic fundamentals including ample supply and upcoming storage data.
Read → What's moving · Futures near $3.28 as falling output and rising LNG flows support prices amid mixed weather.
EIA lifts 2026 price view but sees 2027 drop on supply growth.Andrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
EIA raised its 2026 Henry Hub forecast while projecting a 2027 decline as production growth outpaces demand gains from record power burn and LNG exports. End-October inventories are seen at 3.97 Tcf. The outlook highlights ample supply capping prices despite rising consumption.
Read → August futures climb on late-July heat outlook but stay rangebound.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
August Nymex natural gas futures rose Tuesday on sustained late-July heat forecasts across much of the US. Comfortable supply fundamentals, including production levels near 109 bcfd and LNG flows, limited gains and kept prices in recent trading ranges.
Read → Cash prices rise in Permian and SoCal on western heat.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
Next-day physical prices edged higher Tuesday with gains in the Permian Basin and Southern California driven by western heat. Modest weakness appeared in some premium Southeast markets, reflecting regional demand variations.
Read → Wind surge cuts gas power burn 10% below year-ago in storage week.Chris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
A 96% jump in wind generation during the latest EIA storage week limited natural gas-fired power output, which trailed year-ago levels by 10%. The shift moderated bullish demand signals and pointed to a near-average inventory build.
Read → What's moving · Futures edge higher on lower production, rising LNG flows and hotter late-July outlook.
Futures rise on hotter late-July outlook, lower output and LNG demand.Chris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
Front-month natural gas futures moved higher early Monday. A hotter late-July weather outlook, Lower 48 production slipping below recent peaks and steady LNG feedgas flows provided support, offsetting cooler near-term models. The gains reflect seasonal demand risks persisting into mid-month.
Read → Futures hold 50-day support on firm cash prices and seasonal strength.Chris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
August futures bounced between technical levels early Monday. Firm Henry Hub cash prices and lingering seasonal demand kept the contract above the 50-day moving average despite a recent hefty storage build. Support is expected to fade by mid-July as weather moderates.
Read → NGI sees 55 Bcf build for week ending July 3 amid heat wave.Leticia Gonzales · Natural Gas Intelligence
NGI projects a 55 Bcf storage injection for the week ending July 3, slightly above the five-year average. Intense heat across the eastern U.S. boosted cooling demand but rising wind generation and holiday timing tempered the build. Lower 48 production fell about 2.6 Bcf week-over-week.
Read → WoodMac sees Henry Hub rising toward $5/MMBtu by 2035.Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie forecasts the end of the decade-long $2-4/MMBtu Henry Hub range. Surging LNG export capacity and AI-driven power demand will lift prices toward $5/MMBtu real by 2035 as supply growth matures and high-quality acreage constraints emerge.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub futures hold near $3.22/MMBtu as ample storage and strong supply offset summer heat-driven power burn.
Storage surplus widens, pressuring natgas bullsKevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
EIA reported an 87 Bcf storage injection for the week ended June 26, exceeding expectations and widening the surplus above five-year averages. Traders viewed ample Lower 48 supply as sufficient for summer needs, weighing on futures despite heat-supported power burn.
Read → Cash prices retreat despite heat domeKevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
Physical natural gas prices pulled back Thursday as participants focused on moderating temperatures ahead and elevated supply levels. Blistering near-term heat supported power generation but failed to lift cash prices amid the broader supply picture.
Read → What's moving · EIA's 87 Bcf storage injection exceeds expectations, pressuring US natural gas futures lower amid ample supply.
EIA 87 Bcf injection tops forecasts, futures fallChris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
The EIA reported an 87 Bcf net injection into US storage for the week ended June 26, above market expectations of around 81-83 Bcf. This larger-than-anticipated build signals robust supply relative to summer demand and immediately weighed on NYMEX natural gas futures. Elevated inventories support bearish near-term price pressure despite ongoing heat-driven power burn.
Read → WoodMac sees structurally higher Henry Hub prices aheadAndrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
A new Wood Mackenzie report forecasts the end of the cheap US natural gas era, with Henry Hub prices rising structurally due to rapid LNG export growth, AI-driven power demand, and declining productivity in key basins like Marcellus, Haynesville, and Permian. Producers face higher development costs on remaining acreage, tightening the supply response over the next decade.
Read → Mexico US pipeline imports hit record 8.35 Bcf/d in JuneNatural Gas Intelligence
NGI data show US pipeline exports to Mexico averaged a record 8.35 Bcf/d in June. Strong cross-border flows add to domestic demand alongside LNG feedgas and power burn, supporting prices even as storage builds.
Read → Williams cuts Transco southbound flows 0.5 Bcf/d this summerNatural Gas Intelligence
Williams will reduce southbound capacity on its Transco pipeline by about 0.5 Bcf/d for most of the summer during expansion work. The move tightens Southeast deliveries precisely when cooling demand peaks, potentially lifting regional basis and spot prices.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub futures ease to $3.20/MMBtu on larger-than-expected storage build expectations amid steady LNG flows and shifting heat.
Natgas futures cede ground on heat dome and steady supply.Kevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
US natural gas futures eased Wednesday as traders weighed a sprawling Lower 48 heat dome against stable production and LNG feedgas. Spot cash prices rose in the Northeast on power-burn demand, but futures lost ground on expectations of comfortable storage. The moves highlight how summer heat supports near-term demand while ample supply caps price upside.
Read → Northeast spot prices rise on record power generation demand.Kevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
Next-day natural gas cash prices advanced midweek, led by the Northeast amid the hottest Lower 48 conditions of 2026 so far. Power generation needs drove buying as utilities stocked supply for air-conditioning loads. Regional basis strengthened in key demand areas while futures remained under pressure from broader supply fundamentals.
Read → Europe share of US LNG exports falls below 42% in June.Curtis Williams · Reuters
Europe took just under 42% of US LNG exports in June, the lowest share in nearly two years, as Asia prices pulled cargoes away and Egypt set a record import month. Total US shipments redirected toward higher-paying Asian and African buyers amid wider price spreads. The shift underscores how global arbitrage continues to shape US export flows and domestic feedgas demand.
Read → PJM warns of record power demand and price spikes this summer.Reuters
PJM Interconnection flagged potential price spikes and record electricity demand this summer tied to heat and data-center growth. The grid operator highlighted risks to reliability and costs from surging loads. Elevated power-burn demand would support natural gas consumption in the key eastern market.
Read → What's moving · Heat dome over central/eastern US lifts near-term power-burn demand, lifting Henry Hub prices despite storage surplus.
Heat dome tightens near-term natgas demand outlook.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
A heat dome over the central and eastern US is boosting cooling demand and power-burn expectations through early July, the strongest tightening signal this summer per real-time indicators. LNG export flows to Europe and Asia add pull. Storage data still shows comfortable inventories, but spot and cash markets are confirming the demand surge.
Read → EIA storage injection seen at 83 Bcf, expanding surplus.Patrick Rau · Natural Gas Intelligence
NGI projects an 83 Bcf injection for the week ended June 26, up 7 Bcf week-over-week and above the five-year average of 64 Bcf. This would shrink the year/year deficit to 27 Bcf while lifting the surplus versus the five-year benchmark to a 2026 high of 171 Bcf. Lower-48 power demand fell 1.7 Bcf/d last week amid cooler conditions.
Read → FERC approves NGPL Texas-Louisiana expansion phase.Chris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
FERC cleared the second phase of NGPL's Texas-Louisiana Expansion Project, adding eastbound capacity on a constrained East Texas-Louisiana link. The move targets 300,000 Dth/d incremental service with a July 1, 2026 target in-service. It eases flows of Texas gas toward Henry Hub amid strong export and power demand.
Read → Natgas prices climb on heat-driven power demand.Trading Economics
US natural gas prices rose over 3% to near $3.30/MMBtu on increased LNG plant flows and record power-demand forecasts from a severe heat wave. NYC temperatures may hit 100°F, with above-normal heat expected through mid-July. Lower-48 production averaged 110 Bcf/d in June while LNG feedgas flows hit 17.4 Bcf/d.
Read → What's moving · US natgas prices hold near 3-week lows on record output and milder weather forecasts.
Golden Pass LNG offline as feedgas intake nears zero.Reuters
Golden Pass LNG in Texas has taken little to no natural gas for three days and appears offline during commissioning of its first train. The QatarEnergy-ExxonMobil facility is expected to handle up to 2.6 bcfd when fully operational. Reduced feedgas demand frees US supply, pressuring domestic prices.
Read → Russian-flagged tanker loads cargo from Arctic LNG 2.Reuters
Arctic Express, a newly Russian-flagged tanker, loaded LNG from a floating storage facility linked to the US-sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 project on June 28. Russia continues Arctic LNG 2 operations with China as main buyer despite sanctions. The development has limited direct impact on US Henry Hub pricing.
Read → Shell forecasts flat global LNG supply in 2026.Bloomberg
Shell expects global LNG supply to be flat year-on-year due to Middle East conflict disrupting flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The forecast assumes Hormuz reopens this summer; prolonged closure could cause a rare annual contraction. US LNG exports face indirect effects from global supply constraints.
Read → US natgas prices hold near 3-week low on record output.Reuters
US natural gas prices remain near three-week lows amid record production levels and forecasts for milder weather reducing cooling demand. Lower power-burn expectations and ample supply weigh on the complex. The move reflects near-term bearish fundamentals for Henry Hub.
Read → What's moving · LNG export flows and Southern heat lift Henry Hub toward $3.35 as storage stays ample.
Mexico-bound US gas flows hit new high as ECA LNG ramps up.Christopher Lenton · Natural Gas Intelligence
June is shaping up to be the strongest month on record for US natural gas exports to Mexico. Sempra Infrastructure’s Energía Costa Azul (ECA) LNG export terminal is ramping up and driving westbound demand. This supports higher pipeline flows out of US basins toward Gulf Coast LNG and Mexico.
Read → South Central storage nears deficit on heat and LNG demand.Kevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
Natural gas stored in the South Central region is on the cusp of deficit territory. Southern heat intensifies and LNG demand strengthens, pressuring regional inventories even as total Lower 48 storage remains ample above the five-year average.
Read → FERC clears MVP Southgate NC leg amid demand signals.Chris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
Mountain Valley Pipeline received federal approval to start building the North Carolina leg of its Southgate Amendment Project. The extension adds 500 MMcf/d capacity into the Southeast, clearing the final regulatory hurdle and responding to widening Transco Zone 5 South premiums signaling demand.
Read → What's moving · Heat forecasts reverse futures higher after 76 Bcf EIA storage build exceeds expectations.
Futures rebound after storage selloff on heat forecastsJodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
Natural gas futures rebounded Thursday after an early sell-off from the larger-than-expected storage injection. Traders refocused on forecasts for widespread heat next week, lifting July and August contracts.
Read → 76 Bcf injection exceeds consensus, triggering selloffAndrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
EIA reported a 76 Bcf net injection for the week ended June 19, above consensus estimates. Working gas reached 2,835 Bcf, remaining above the five-year average but sending futures lower initially.
Read → Gulf Coast cash prices rise on LNG and heat demandJodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
Cash prices strengthened Thursday with gains at Gulf Coast hubs driven by LNG export demand and Southern heat. Western cooling eased some pressure while Henry Hub cash topped $3.28.
Read → EIA confirms 76 Bcf weekly build to 2,835 Bcf totalIndexBox
Lower 48 working gas inventories rose 76 Bcf to 2,835 Bcf for the week ending June 19. Stocks sit 152 Bcf above the five-year average and 49 Bcf below year-ago levels, with East and Midwest leading builds.
Read → What's moving · Natgas futures climb 2%+ to $3.29 as hotter forecasts lift power-burn demand ahead of storage data.
Heat-wave forecasts lift natgas futures middayKevin Dobbs · Natural Gas Intelligence
July NYMEX futures rose 4.5 cents to $3.229/MMBtu at midday on stronger cooling demand from pending heat waves across the mid-Atlantic and Upper Midwest. Traders also noted firm LNG feedgas flows and Henry Hub spot prices edging higher amid the demand outlook shift.
Read → Northeast and Permian basis swings sharplyAndrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
Forward basis in the US Northeast plunged while Waha (Permian) surged over recent weeks due to weather shifts, infrastructure additions, and geopolitical factors affecting LNG-linked demand. These regional moves highlight diverging supply-demand balances between Appalachia and Permian basins.
Read → Power burn eases as coal, nuclear riseChris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
Gas-fired generation declined from recent peaks during the latest EIA storage week while coal and nuclear output hit post-winter highs to meet rising summer loads. The shift underscores competition among fuel sources even as overall power demand grows.
Read → New Permian processing plant advancesJamison Cocklin · Natural Gas Intelligence
Trace Midstream announced a 250 MMcf/d gas processing plant in Southeast New Mexico, adding to multiple Permian takeaway projects slated for 2026. The expansion aims to relieve chronic basin constraints and support higher associated gas production.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub futures dip on cooler weather forecasts trimming power-burn demand amid ample storage.
US natgas futures fall on cooler weather and lower LNG flows.Bloomberg
US natural gas futures declined Monday as forecasts shifted cooler in coming weeks, reducing expected gas-fired power demand for air conditioning. Kinder Morgan’s Gulf Coast Express pipeline expansion entered service, easing Permian oversupply by moving more gas out of the basin. Lower LNG feedgas flows from maintenance also added domestic supply pressure.
Read → Natgas futures fall despite building heat risk.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
July NYMEX natural gas futures fell Tuesday on cooler weather forecasts that trimmed cooling degree days and power sector demand outlooks. Strong Lower 48 production and expectations for adequate storage builds weighed on sentiment even as heat risk builds later. NGI forecasts a lean 68 Bcf storage injection for the week ended June 19.
Read → Prices lag despite hotter forecasts ahead.Andrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
Forecasts point to a sizable uptick in cooling demand by the weekend, yet natural gas futures struggled in early Tuesday trading. Ample supply from production and storage expectations offset bullish weather signals. Traders cite well-supplied market conditions limiting price response to summer heat.
Read → Traders buy dip in well-supplied natgas market.Andrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
Bargain buying and supportive overnight forecast trends after Tuesday’s decline pushed natural gas futures modestly higher in early Wednesday trade. NGI predicts a lean storage build and notes July contract expiration Friday. The market remains focused on balancing strong supply against seasonal demand shifts.
Read → What's moving · Warmer July forecasts and rising LNG feedgas lift Henry Hub futures on stronger summer demand outlook.
Heat and LNG demand test storage refill paceJodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
Weather forecasts for hotter early July weather pushed natural gas futures higher Monday. Stronger cooling demand and rising LNG exports signal potentially smaller storage injections. NGI forecasts a 68 Bcf injection for the week ended June 19, down from prior weeks.
Read → Natgas eases to $3.23 after two-week highTrading Economics
US natural gas prices fell to $3.23/MMBtu following a session high driven by higher LNG terminal flows and warmer weather forecasts. Average flows to LNG plants rose to 17.2 bcfd in June from 17.1 bcfd in May as units returned from outages. Lower 48 production held steady at 109.7 bcfd.
Read → Power burn jumps on summer heatChris Newman · Natural Gas Intelligence
Natural gas-fired power generation hit its highest level since Winter Storm Fern amid building summer heat. The surge supports expectations for a near-average EIA storage injection this week. Elevated power burn tightens the supply-demand balance heading into peak cooling season.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub futures jump 3%+ on lighter-than-expected 73 Bcf EIA storage build amid summer heat-driven power burn.
US gas futures rise on moderate EIA storage buildAnthony Harrup · Wall Street Journal
EIA reported a 73 Bcf injection for the week ended June 12, below the 82 Bcf consensus and prior week's 108 Bcf. The lighter build left the storage surplus unchanged at 151 Bcf above the five-year average. Strong cooling demand drove the highest power generation use of the season, tightening the market and lifting NYMEX July futures 2.8% to $3.233/MMBtu.
Read → Bulls own the joint after light 73 Bcf EIA buildAndrew Baker · Natural Gas Intelligence
The 73 Bcf injection for week ended June 12 reflected robust cooling demand and widened South Central and East storage deficits year-over-year. It matched the five-year average but trailed last year's pace, supporting prices despite comfortable overall inventories at 2,759 Bcf.
Read → What's moving · LNG feedgas rebound and Waha rally lift US natgas prices and cash hubs amid cooling futures.
Golden Pass LNG feedgas hits record high after lull.Jacob Dick · Natural Gas Intelligence
Feedgas nominations to Golden Pass LNG reached their highest level to date on June 17 following minimal flows earlier in June. Train 1 startup remains uneven while Train 2 ramp-up is expected to further boost demand. The rebound signals improving US LNG export activity that supports domestic gas prices.
Read → Waha surges 96.5 cents, lifting national cash prices.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
Cash prices rose Wednesday for Thursday flow as Waha rallied 96.5 cents on Southwest supply tightening and Permian pipeline relief. The national average gained 5.5 cents despite Midwest weakness. Regional hubs including Permian and South Texas showed strength from production and flow dynamics.
Read → July futures settle lower on weaker power demand view.Jodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
July NYMEX futures erased early gains to settle lower Wednesday as near-term power burn forecasts weakened and a near-average storage build is expected. Tropical Storm Arthur added near-term supply concerns while comfortable inventories reinforced a balanced summer outlook.
Read → Power burn hits highest level since Winter Storm Fern.Natural Gas Intelligence
Natural gas-fired power generation rose sharply on June 17 to its highest level since Winter Storm Fern amid building summer heat. The increase supports a potentially near-average EIA storage injection and highlights power-sector demand as a key summer driver despite overall futures pressure.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub futures climb on rebounding LNG feedgas flows and summer heat-driven power demand.
Waha natgas prices turn positive after 90 days negativeScott DiSavino · Reuters
Waha spot prices rose to 42 cents per mmBtu Tuesday from negative territory, ending a record 90-day streak of sub-zero prices. Easing pipeline maintenance and rising summer power demand relieved Permian Basin constraints. EIA projects Permian output hitting a record 30.1 bcfd by November.
Read → Natgas futures rise on LNG feedgas and summer demand risksJodi Shafto · Natural Gas Intelligence
July futures advanced as traders priced simultaneous strength in power-sector demand and LNG feedgas later this summer. Cash prices rose at Permian hubs amid Southeast heat premiums. New GCX pipeline flows signal easing Permian supply glut.
Read → US natgas futures gain on rising LNG feedgas flowsWall Street Journal
NYMEX July natgas settled up 2.9% at $3.239/mmBtu on recovering LNG terminal feedgas post-maintenance. Heat in South and West supported prices despite milder eastern weather. Healthy storage and supply cap further gains.
Read → Cash natgas prices rise on Permian recovery and heatNatural Gas Intelligence
Cash prices finished higher with Permian hubs recovering from deep discounts. Persistent heat boosted Southeast and Gulf Coast premiums. New interconnect flows on Kinder Morgan GCX pipeline eased regional supply pressure.
Read → What's moving · US natural gas prices fell toward $3.00/MMBtu on Iran deal easing global supply fears and strong domestic storage.
US natgas prices fall to over 2-week low after storage build.Trading Economics
US natural gas prices fell 2% toward $3.00 per MMBtu, their lowest in nearly three weeks. The drop followed a US-Iran peace deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz and a larger-than-expected 108 Bcf EIA storage injection for the week ending June 5, lifting inventories to 2,686 Bcf. Strong domestic supply and the global supply relief weighed on prices despite potential LNG export recovery.
Read → Oil and natural-gas prices drop after Iran deal.Joe Wallace · Wall Street Journal
US natural gas futures joined oil in retreating after the US and Iran reached a deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The agreement eases concerns over global LNG and oil flows from the Persian Gulf. Domestic fundamentals including ample storage continued to pressure prices lower.
Read → What's moving · Henry Hub near $3.05/MMBtu as 108 Bcf storage build and cooling forecasts weigh on summer demand.
EIA reports 108 Bcf storage build for week ending June 5.EIA
Working gas in storage reached 2,686 Bcf, up 108 Bcf week-over-week and 151 Bcf above the five-year average. The larger-than-expected injection narrows the surplus versus last year to just 5 Bcf and signals ample supply heading into peak summer cooling demand.
Read → Natgas futures slip as cooler June outlook cuts demand.Anthony Harrup · Wall Street Journal
NYMEX natural gas settled around $3.14/MMBtu after modest losses, with traders citing cooler weather forecasts for mid-to-late June that reduce power-sector burn expectations. Strong current-week demand and rising LNG flows provide some support but fail to overcome the bearish weather shift.
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